The Covid outbreak in the US has started to appear in a second wave. In the past two weeks, the reported cases have increased by over 50%. The increase in the number of cases was always expected. It’s also believed that the outbreak might have started during the Thanksgiving holiday when people spend more time indoors.
The winter has brought various adverse effects on the Covid pandemic. Last year, the arrival of the Omicron virus caused widespread infection in the country. Although the current outbreak is not as severe as the one that hit the country in 2021, experts are still uncertain about the future. One of the most critical factors that they’re expecting to see is the increasing number of hospitalizations and cases.
The number of cases continues to increase in various parts of the country. However, the recent increases have been especially apparent in the South and West. In the past two weeks, the average daily number of cases in several states, such as Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina, has doubled. In California, daily hospitalizations have also increased by almost 53%. Among the other areas that have seen significant increases are New York City and Los Angeles.
Although some experts predict that the Covid outbreak will continue to increase, others doubt its significance. Although the exact number of cases is unknown, it’s widely believed that the number of people diagnosed with the virus has increased significantly. Due to the lack of reliable case counts, many experts doubt that the Covid outbreak is a wave.
Since there is currently no reliable data on the immune status of people, it is difficult to predict the future direction of the Covid outbreak. The widespread vaccination and the increasing number of infections have provided people with a more substantial wall of immunity, but this protection eventually wears out.
The combination of factors that have created the ideal conditions for a prolonged surge of infections has led to the development of a dangerous and unpredictable disease. Some of these include fading immunity, the low uptake of COVID booster shots, and the abandonment of COVID precautions. The only approved drug for treating patients with immunocompromised conditions that can be used against the BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 variants is paxlovid. Although it’s still effective, it’s not widely used by providers, and some patients refuse to use it.
Although the number of people who get COVID this season has increased significantly, the likelihood of them experiencing severe illness is lower than in past winters. This is because most of the population has a robust immune system, which can prevent the virus from wreaking severe effects. However, a wave could still lead to an increase in deaths. The low uptake of COVID booster shots has highlighted the shortcomings of the country’s efforts in identifying the right individuals for the virus. Even if the COVID wave doesn’t turn into a major outbreak, it could still harm the healthcare industry as it would lead to more hospital patients.
Although we can’t predict the future direction of the virus, we can at least hope that the ongoing surge doesn’t turn into a severe outbreak. The key to understanding the current situation is analyzing past seasons’ patterns. For instance, last year, the wave that hit the country started in December. The best thing people can do is follow basic precautions and utilize the preventative tools provided to them, such as masking and vaccination.